Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.