CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 7, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Cibao

Cibao
1 - 1
Guadalajara

David Diaz Sanchez (1', 1')
Omar De La Cruz Mangas (33'), Omar De La Cruz Mangas (33'), Cesar Murillo Asprilla (36'), Cesar Murillo Asprilla (36'), Chet Trinidad (78'), Chet Trinidad (78'), Stanling Lloyd Troncoso (90'), Stanling Lloyd Troncoso (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gabriel Rey Mejia (90+10', 90+10')
Camberos Figueroa (90+4'), Camberos Figueroa (90+4')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Cibao and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cibao

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 1 at 11.05pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Cibao had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.36%) and 0-3 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Cibao win it was 1-0 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
CibaoDrawCD Guadalajara
9.81% (0.052999999999999 0.05)18.82% (0.097000000000001 0.1)71.37% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Both teams to score 39.64% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-0.249 -0.25)50.34% (0.249 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-0.22 -0.22)72.28% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Cibao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)54.53% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.4% (-0.029 -0.03)87.6% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)12.82% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)39.16% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Cibao 9.81%
    CD Guadalajara 71.35%
    Draw 18.82%
CibaoDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 4.24% (0.037 0.04)
2-1 @ 2.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.29% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 9.81%
1-1 @ 8.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 18.82%
0-2 @ 14.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 14.36% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 10.09% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 5.18% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 71.35%