Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 3, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
3 - 1
Atletico San Luis

Durdevic (46', 46', 73', 73'), Del Prete (64', 64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Macias (9', 9')
Dourado (62'), Dourado (62')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Atletico San Luis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-0 Atlas
Sunday, February 23 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 3-1 Guadalajara
Thursday, February 27 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.

Result
AtlasDrawAtletico San Luis
48.45% (-0.986 -0.99)25.64% (0.093 0.09)25.91% (0.895 0.9)
Both teams to score 50.74% (0.531 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (0.299 0.3)52.55% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (0.255 0.26)74.21% (-0.255 -0.25)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.306 -0.31)21.7% (0.307 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (-0.471 -0.47)54.86% (0.472 0.47)
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.93 0.93)35.19% (-0.929 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.958 0.96)71.95% (-0.95699999999999 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 48.44%
    Atletico San Luis 25.91%
    Draw 25.63%
AtlasDrawAtletico San Luis
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.185 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.91%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 2am
Gameweek 6
Atletico San Luis
2-1
Atlas
Vitinho (31'), Salles-Lamonge (53')
Dominguez (7')
Lozano (70')
Aguirre (45+6'), Lozano (78')
Apr 15, 2024 1am
Gameweek 15
Atlas
2-1
Atletico San Luis
Robles (34', 76')
Boli (7')
Boli (53')
Sep 4, 2023 3am
Gameweek 7
Atletico San Luis
2-0
Atlas
Bonatini (6'), Bilbao (55')
Dourado (7'), Chavez (66')

Aguirre (45+4'), Nervo (75')
Apr 30, 2023 2am
Sep 12, 2022 12.05am