Liga MX | Gameweek 13
Mar 30, 2025 at 4.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
0 - 1
Cruz Azul


Chavez (62'), Chavez (62'), Sebastian Angel Wilke Braams (90+6'), Sebastian Angel Wilke Braams (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rivero (45+2', 45+2')
Piovi (45+4'), Piovi (45+4'), Ditta (90+6'), Ditta (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 16 at 1.10am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, March 16 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruz Azul in this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawCruz Azul
31.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)28.01% (-0.14 -0.14)40.66% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 47% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.11% (0.5 0.5)58.89% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.62% (0.386 0.39)79.38% (-0.38000000000001 -0.38)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (0.286 0.29)34.35% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (0.306 0.31)71.06% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59% (0.306 0.31)28.41% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84% (0.378 0.38)64.16% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 31.33%
    Cruz Azul 40.66%
    Draw 28.01%
CD GuadalajaraDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 31.33%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 12.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 40.66%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 4.05am
Gameweek 9
Cruz Azul
1-0
Guadalajara
Rivero (60')
Rivero (35')

Beltran (31')
Mar 3, 2024 1.05am
Gameweek 10
Cruz Azul
3-0
Guadalajara
Faravelli (7'), Uriel (27', 33')

Gonzalez (78'), Briseno (81')
Nov 5, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
1-0
Cruz Azul
Padilla (90+7')
Gutierrez (39')

Castano (41'), Sepulveda (68'), Ditta (90+2')
Apr 23, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
2-1
Cruz Azul
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (53'), Cisneros (75')
Uriel (37')
Oct 2, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 17
Cruz Azul
2-1
Guadalajara
Uriel (45+2'), Estrada (90+3')
Flores (69')