Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.