CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
4 - 0
Guadalajara

Rodriguez (6', 6'), Valdes (45', 45'), Zendejas (65', 65'), Fidalgo (79', 79')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Mozo (14'), Mozo (14'), Gonzalez (74'), Gonzalez (74')
Mozo (46'), Mozo (46')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Club America and CD Guadalajara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawCD Guadalajara
50.05% (-0.153 -0.15)25.81% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)24.14% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 48.57% (0.287 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.43% (0.281 0.28)54.57% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.09% (0.234 0.23)75.91% (-0.229 -0.23)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.049999999999997 0.05)21.84% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93% (0.074000000000005 0.07)55.07% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (0.331 0.33)37.86% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.37% (0.321 0.32)74.63% (-0.31599999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Club America 50.05%
    CD Guadalajara 24.14%
    Draw 25.81%
Club AmericaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 9.57% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.27% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.93% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 24.14%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2025 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Guadalajara
0-0
America
Chavez (41'), Gonzalez (48'), Mozo (62')
Cowell (70')
Rodriguez (68')
Mar 6, 2025 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Guadalajara
1-0
America
Caceres (77' og.)
Mozo (45+2'), Sepulveda (56'), Chavez (80')

Zendejas (76')
Sep 15, 2024 1.50am
Gameweek 7
America
1-0
Guadalajara
Juarez (31')
Dilrosun (36'), dos Santos (58'), Espinoza Acosta (78'), Calderon (89')

Gonzalez (45+1'), Briseno (48')
May 19, 2024 3am
May 16, 2024 3.05am
rhs 2.0


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