Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 1, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca

America
3 - 0
Toluca

Fidalgo (6'), Zendejas (51'), Borja (90+6')
Rodriguez (16'), Juarez (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Paulinho (57')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 0-2 America
Sunday, February 23 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Queretaro
Thursday, February 27 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Club America win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Toluca has a probability of 26.87% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Toluca win is 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).

Result
Club AmericaDrawToluca
48.61% (-0.151 -0.15)24.52% (-0.055 -0.05)26.87% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 55.04% (0.36 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (0.39 0.39)47.28% (-0.391 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.36 0.36)69.51% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09)19.51% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (0.152 0.15)51.39% (-0.152 -0.15)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (0.369 0.37)31.62% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (0.422 0.42)68.02% (-0.423 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Club America 48.61%
    Toluca 26.87%
    Draw 24.52%
Club AmericaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.17% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.87%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 11pm
Toluca
0-2
America

Pereira (80'), Helinho (90+4')
Pereira (84')
Ruiz (49' og.), Martin (72')
Juarez (29'), Aguirre (32')
Nov 28, 2024 1am
America
2-0
Toluca
Aguirre (67', 82')

Violante (21')
Nov 10, 2024 1am
Gameweek 17
Toluca
4-0
America
Gallardo (9'), Angulo (58'), Paulinho (72'), Garcia (77')
Baeza (35')
Apr 14, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 15
America
5-1
Toluca
Valdes (9', 24'), Martin (15'), Quinones (73', 82')
Calderon (19'), Lichnovsky (50'), Fidalgo (90+2'), Quinones (90+2')
Dominguez (14')
Escobar (49'), Ruiz (90+2')
Sep 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Toluca
1-1
America
Araujo (54')
Huerta (44')
Belmonte (84')
Valdes (25')
rhs 2.0


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