Club Leon
Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 9, 2025 at 1am UK
BC Place Stadium

Club Leon
3 - 3
Toluca

Cadiz (15', 15'), Echeverria (24', 24', 64', 64')
Echeverria (31'), Echeverria (31'), Bellon (90'), Barreiro (90'), Bellon (90'), Barreiro (90')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Violante (50', 50'), Morales (60', 60', 85', 85')
Romero (38'), Romero (38'), Paulinho (88'), Paulinho (88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Club Leon
Thursday, February 6 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Tigres
Sunday, February 2 at 3.15am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Club LeonDrawToluca
36.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.25% (0.189 0.19)36.93% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.39% (-0.644 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.75% (-0.816 -0.82)51.25% (0.82 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (-0.718 -0.72)73.08% (0.72099999999999 0.72)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (-0.40299999999999 -0.4)26.96% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (-0.531 -0.53)62.3% (0.534 0.53)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)26.9% (0.475 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78% (-0.626 -0.63)62.22% (0.628 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 36.82%
    Toluca 36.93%
    Draw 26.25%
Club LeonDrawToluca
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.202 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.82%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.235 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 8.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.93%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 15
Toluca
2-2
Club Leon
Paulinho (60', 87')
Paulinho (55'), Gallardo (68'), Dominguez (74'), Vega (80'), Violante (84')
Mendez (81')
Mendoza (15'), Alvarado (57')
Blanco (27'), Frias (80')
Feb 3, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 5
Toluca
4-1
Club Leon
Dominguez (17'), Pereira (24'), Araujo (30'), Vega (86')
Ruiz (45'), Garcia (48'), Angulo (79')
Lopez (47')
Oct 22, 2023 12am
Gameweek 13
Club Leon
1-0
Toluca
Lopez (39')
Mena (67')

Morales (45+3'), Lopez (75'), Baeza (87')
Dominguez (83')
Jan 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 4
Toluca
0-0
Club Leon
Jul 27, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 5
Club Leon
0-1
Toluca
Ambriz (17'), Montes (27'), Di Yorio (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Ambriz (53')
Navarro (26'), Sierra (27')