Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Feb 1, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)
Club Leon

Mazatlan
1 - 2
Club Leon

Benedetti (48', 48')
Merolla (15'), Merolla (15'), Lainez (79'), Lainez (79'), Benedetti (90+2'), Benedetti (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Rigoni (4', 4'), Ayon (9', 9')
Guerra (40'), Guerra (40'), Tadeo Estrada Meza (50'), Tadeo Estrada Meza (50')
Cisneros (72'), Cisneros (72')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Club Leon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions
Last Game: Puebla 0-1 Mazatlan
Wednesday, January 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Club Leon

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Guadalajara
Wednesday, January 29 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawClub Leon
42.16% (0.283 0.28)25.51% (0.11 0.11)32.32% (-0.4 -0.4)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.522 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.23% (-0.611 -0.61)48.77% (0.605 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (-0.559 -0.56)70.87% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.13 -0.13)23% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (-0.187 -0.19)56.8% (0.18 0.18)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.56 -0.56)28.52% (0.553 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.70500000000001 -0.71)64.3% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 42.16%
    Club Leon 32.32%
    Draw 25.51%
MazatlanDrawClub Leon
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.203 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.32%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2024 1am
Gameweek 16
Club Leon
0-0
Mazatlan
Barreiro (57'), Hernandez (90+21')
Benedetti (50'), Diaz (53'), Esquivel (90+21')
Jan 31, 2024 1am
Gameweek 4
Mazatlan
2-2
Club Leon
Del Prete (22'), Joel Barcenas (29')
Almada (52')
Vinas (14'), Mena (57' pen.)
Rodriguez (41'), Vinas (71'), Mena (81')
Aug 19, 2023 2.06am
Gameweek 4
Club Leon
2-1
Mazatlan
Mena (48'), Vinas (61')
Romero (33'), Barreiro (67')
Loba (8')
Benedetti (58'), Merolla (61'), Intriago (71')
Colula (88')
Aug 19, 2023 2.06am
Gameweek 4
Club Leon
2-1
Mazatlan
Mena (48'), Vinas (61')
Romero (33'), Barreiro (67')
Loba (8')
Benedetti (58'), Merolla (61'), Intriago (71')
Colula (88')
Mar 25, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 1
Mazatlan
1-2
Club Leon
Colula (11')
Ambriz (2'), Rubio (80')