Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.