Liga MX Gameweek 5
Toluca
Feb 2, 2025 3.15am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Tigres
  • Federico Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Federico Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 33' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 33' yellowcard
  • Franco Romero 37' yellowcard
  • Franco Romero 37' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 90'+1' goal
  • Paulinho 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 22'
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 22'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Javier Aquino 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Jose Garcia 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Diego Lainez 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Jose Garcia 90'+9'

Toluca vs Tigres - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2025 3.05am
Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Tigres

All competitions
Last game
Jan 29, 2025 3.00am
Tigres 4 - 0 Tijuana
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Juan Brunetta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Tigres win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Toluca 39.54% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 24.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Tigres 35.47% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.67% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.28% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 45.71% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 31.96% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 3.5 68.03% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 4.5 16.05% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 83.94% ▼ (-0.17)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 77.03% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 0.5 22.96% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 43.25% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 56.74% ▼ (-0.25)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5 74.86% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 25.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 40.15% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 59.85% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Toluca 39.54%
Draw 24.98%
Tigres 35.47%
Toluca
2-1 @ 8.63% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
Tigres
1-2 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.97% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 35.47%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 16
Tigres
Nov 7, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Toluca
  • 1' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 4' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 4' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 57' goal
  • Juan Brunetta 57' goal
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 54'
  • yellowcard Isaias Violante 54'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 79'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 79'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Toluca
Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Tigres
  • Alexis Vega 52' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 54' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 71' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Herrera 35'
  • redcard Sebastian Cordova 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Guido Pizarro 52'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Guzman 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Sanchez 68'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Tigres
Oct 5, 2023 4.00am
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
Toluca
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 48' yellowcard
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 48' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 45'+5' goal
  • Jesus Angulo 45'+5' goal
  • Rafael Carioca 63' yellowcard
  • Rafael Carioca 63' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 68' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 68' yellowcard
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 76' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 76' goal
  • Jonathan Herrera 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Flores 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Herrera 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Flores 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Meneses 24'
  • yellowcard Jean Meneses 24'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 44'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 44'
  • redcard Jean Meneses 45'+2'
  • redcard Jean Meneses 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isais 59'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isais 59'
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 77'
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 77'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
  • goal Robert Morales 90'+4'
  • goal Robert Morales 90'+4'
Liga MX
Toluca
May 14, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Tigres
  • Edgar Lopez 26' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45'+3' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 53' goal
  • goal Sebastian Cordova 71'
Liga MX
Tigres
May 12, 2023 4.10am
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT
Toluca
  • Sebastian Cordova 14' goal
  • Andre-Pierre Gignac 31' goal
  • Juan Vigon 45'+5' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 72' goal
  • goal Leonardo Fernandez 8'
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Toluca
Apr 2, 2023 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Tigres
  • Igor Lichnovsky 27' goal
  • Carlos Gonzalez 45'+1' goal
  • Carlos Gonzalez 69' goal
  • goal Andre-Pierre Gignac 76'
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 90'

Form Data

Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
Mazatlan 2 - 1 Toluca
Toluca 1 - 1 Monterrey
Tijuana 2 - 4 Toluca
Toluca 0 - 2 America
America 2 - 0 Toluca
Tigres 4 - 0 Tijuana
Guadalajara 1 - 1 Tigres
Tigres 2 - 1 Mazatlan
Atletico San Luis 1 - 3 Tigres
Tigres 0 - 0 Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis 3 - 0 Tigres