Liga MX Gameweek 7
Toluca
Feb 16, 2025 3.10am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Guadalajara
  • Alexis Vega 34' goal
  • Alexis Vega 34' goal
  • Hugo Camberos Figueroa 90'+1' goal
  • Hugo Camberos Figueroa 90'+1' goal
  • Luan Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luan Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal 20'
  • goal Hugo Camberos Figueroa 70'
  • goal Hugo Camberos Figueroa 70'

Toluca vs CD Guadalajara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2025 1.00am
Club Leon 3 - 3 Toluca
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2025 3.05am
Guadalajara 2 - 1 Tijuana
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Roberto Alvarado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Toluca 44.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 25.99% ▼ (-0.02)
CD Guadalajara 29.87% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.41% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.31% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 51.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 12.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.65% ▼ (-0.04)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 76.68% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 23.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 42.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.26% ▼ (-0.04)

CD Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5 68.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 31.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Toluca 44.13%
Draw 25.99%
CD Guadalajara 29.87%
Toluca
1-0 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 44.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.38% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.99%
CD Guadalajara
0-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.87%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 1
Guadalajara
Jul 7, 2024 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio AKRON
Toluca
  • Fernando Beltran 42' yellowcard
  • Fernando Beltran 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 63'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 64'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 64'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 64'
Liga MX
Toluca
May 12, 2024 3.10am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Guadalajara
  • Marcel Ruiz 45' yellowcard
  • Marcel Ruiz 45' yellowcard
  • Brian Garcia 58' redcard
  • Brian Garcia 59' redcard
  • Alexis Vega 80' goal
  • Alexis Vega 81' yellowcard
  • Jean Meneses 82' yellowcard
  • Jean Meneses 82' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jose Rangel 36'
  • yellowcard Jose Rangel 36'
  • yellowcard Alan Mozo 45'
  • yellowcard Alan Mozo 45'
  • yellowcard Jose Castillo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jose Castillo 90'+5'
Liga MX
Guadalajara
May 9, 2024 2.05am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio AKRON
Toluca
  • Pavel Perez 70' goal
  • Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 87' goal
  • Victor Alfonso Guzman Guzman 87' goal
  • Erick Gutierrez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Erick Gutierrez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 83'
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 83'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Guadalajara
Jan 31, 2024 3.05am
3
2
HT : 4 4
FT Estadio AKRON
Toluca
  • Fernando Beltran 1' goal
  • Fernando Beltran 1' goal
  • Jesus Orozco 14' yellowcard
  • Jesus Orozco 14' yellowcard
  • Pavel Perez 43' goal
  • Pavel Perez 43' goal
  • Pavel Perez 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Pavel Perez 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Erick Gutierrez 62' yellowcard
  • Erick Gutierrez 62' yellowcard
  • Jose Castillo 65' yellowcard
  • Jose Castillo 65' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Marin 81' goal
  • Ricardo Marin 81' goal
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 7'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 7'
  • goal Brian Garcia 45'+3'
  • goal Brian Garcia 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Tomas Belmonte 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 45'+9'
  • yellowcard Federico Pereira 45'+9'
  • yellowcard Jesus Angulo 71'
  • yellowcard Jesus Angulo 71'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 83'
  • yellowcard Marcel Ruiz 83'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Toluca
Oct 2, 2023 12.20am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Guadalajara
  • Pedro Raul 42' yellowcard
  • Pedro Raul 42' yellowcard
  • Edgar Lopez 62' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 62' goal
  • Andres Mosquera 80' yellowcard
  • Andres Mosquera 80' yellowcard
  • Fernando Navarro 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Fernando Navarro 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gilberto Sepulveda 14'
  • yellowcard Gilberto Sepulveda 14'
  • yellowcard Veljko Paunovic 15'
  • yellowcard Veljko Paunovic 15'
  • yellowcard Alan Mozo 54'
  • yellowcard Alan Mozo 54'
  • goal Ricardo Marin 69'
  • goal Ricardo Marin 69'
  • yellowcard Jose Raul Rangel Aguilar 74'
  • yellowcard Jose Raul Rangel Aguilar 74'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio AKRON
Toluca
  • Valber Huerta 31' goal
  • goal Carlos Gonzalez 60'
  • goal Marcel Ruiz 84'

Form Data

Club Leon 3 - 3 Toluca
Toluca 1 - 0 Tigres
Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
Mazatlan 2 - 1 Toluca
Toluca 1 - 1 Monterrey
Tijuana 2 - 4 Toluca
Guadalajara 3 - 0 Cibao
Guadalajara 2 - 1 Tijuana
Cibao 1 - 1 Guadalajara
Guadalajara 1 - 1 Queretaro
Club Leon 2 - 1 Guadalajara
Guadalajara 1 - 1 Tigres