Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 79.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Cibao had a probability of 6.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 1-0 (11.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Cibao win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.