CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
3 - 0
Cibao

Beltran (22', 22'), Hernandez (55', 55'), Gonzalez (78', 78')
Gonzalez (82'), Gonzalez (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cesar Murillo Asprilla (32'), Cesar Murillo Asprilla (32')
Mancilla (62'), Mancilla (62')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between CD Guadalajara and Cibao.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Tijuana
Monday, February 10 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Cibao

All competitions
Last Game: Cibao 1-1 Guadalajara
Friday, February 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 79.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Cibao had a probability of 6.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 1-0 (11.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Cibao win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawCibao
79.61% (0.073999999999998 0.07)14.07% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)6.32% (-0.0431 -0.04)
Both teams to score 38.92% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.4% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)41.6% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36% (-0.052 -0.05)64% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.62% (0.007000000000005 0.01)8.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.84% (0.012 0.01)29.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cibao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.48% (-0.167 -0.17)57.52% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.67% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)89.33% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 79.6%
    Cibao 6.32%
    Draw 14.07%
CD GuadalajaraDrawCibao
2-0 @ 14.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 12.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.59% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.76% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 79.6%
1-1 @ 6.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 14.07%
0-1 @ 2.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 6.32%

Head to Head
Feb 7, 2025 1am
First Round 1st Leg
Cibao
1-1
Guadalajara
David Diaz Sanchez (1')
Omar De La Cruz Mangas (33'), Cesar Murillo Asprilla (36'), Chet Trinidad (78'), Stanling Lloyd Troncoso (90')
Gabriel Rey Mejia (90+10')
Camberos Figueroa (90+4')