Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Toluca
24.16% ( -0.07)	23.99% ( -0.06)	51.84% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 54.13% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.75% (

0.16)

47.25% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.52% (

0.15)

69.48% (

-0.15)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.18% (

0.02)

33.82% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52% (

0.02)

70.48% (

-0.02)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

0.11)

18.22% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.76% (

0.19)

49.24% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Juarez 24.16%

Toluca 51.83%

Draw 23.99%

Juarez	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.16%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.83%