Liga MX Gameweek 8
Juarez
Feb 22, 2025 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Toluca
  • Moises Mosquera 20' yellowcard
  • Jesus Murillo 22' yellowcard
  • Jairo Torres 28' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Castilho 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Garcia 1'
  • goal Paulinho 12'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 17'
  • goal Paulinho 26'
  • goal Paulinho 75'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gallardo 77'

Juarez vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Juarez

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2025 3.00am
Tijuana 1 - 2 Juarez
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Oscar Estupinan

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2025 3.10am
Toluca 2 - 1 Guadalajara
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result

Juarez 24.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Toluca 51.84% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.13% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.75% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 47.25% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 30.52% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 69.48% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 15.03% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 84.97% ▼ (-0.11)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5 66.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.82% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 29.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.48% ▼ (-0.03)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 81.78% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 18.22% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 50.76% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 49.24% ▼ (-0.20)

Score analysis

Juarez 24.16%
Draw 23.99%
Toluca 51.83%
Juarez
1-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.99%
Toluca
0-1 @ 10.48% ▼ (-0.04)
1-2 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.83%

Head to Head

Liga MX Gameweek 2
Toluca
Jul 14, 2024 2.10am
3
2
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Juarez
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Paulinho 10' goal
  • Moises Mosquera 17' goal
  • Moises Mosquera 17' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • Paulinho 71' goal
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 15'
  • yellowcard Ralph Orquin 15'
  • yellowcard Ralph Orquin 17'
  • yellowcard Dieter Villalpando 17'
  • yellowcard Dieter Villalpando 37'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 37'
  • goal Jesus Venegas 48'
  • goal Jesus Venegas 48'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 54'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 54'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 61'
  • yellowcard Angel Zaldivar 61'
Liga MX Gameweek 11
Juarez
Mar 9, 2024 3.10am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Toluca
  • Aitor Garcia 39' goal
  • Aitor Garcia 39' goal
  • goal Jesus Angulo 16'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 16'
Liga MX Gameweek 3
Toluca
Jul 16, 2023 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
Juarez
  • Robert Morales 20' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 70' goal
  • goal Agustin Urzi 18'
  • goal Sebastian Saucedo 64'
  • goal Amaury Escoto 77'
  • goal Aitor Garcia 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Toluca
Apr 23, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Juarez
  • Tiago Volpi 45'+4' goal
  • goal Diego Chavez 69'
Liga MX
Toluca
Oct 9, 2022 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
Juarez
  • Camilo Sanvezzo 23' goal
  • Carlos Gonzalez 46' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 90'+2' goal
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Juarez
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Toluca
  • Mauro Lainez 35' yellowcard
  • Alan Medina 69' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Olivera 88' goal
  • Diego Rolan 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Haret Ortega 40'
  • yellowcard Jorge Rodriguez 68'
  • yellowcard Jean Meneses 89'
  • goal Jean Meneses 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Fernando Navarro 90'+6'
  • redcard Sebastian Saucedo 90'+8'

Form Data

Tijuana 1 - 2 Juarez
Juarez 2 - 1 Monterrey
America 4 - 0 Juarez
Juarez 1 - 0 Santos Laguna
Club Leon 1 - 0 Juarez
Juarez 1 - 0 Cruz Azul
Toluca 2 - 1 Guadalajara
Club Leon 3 - 3 Toluca
Toluca 1 - 0 Tigres
Pumas 1 - 1 Toluca
Mazatlan 2 - 1 Toluca
Toluca 1 - 1 Monterrey