Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 2, 2025 at 3.10am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
0 - 1
Guadalajara


Trigos (36'), Trigos (36'), Jonathan Flores Redondo (86'), Jonathan Flores Redondo (86'), Amhed Azuaje Garcia (90+7'), Amhed Azuaje Garcia (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gabriel Rey Mejia (90+2', 90+2')
Chavez (41'), Chavez (41')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pumas

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 4-2 Pumas
Wednesday, February 26 at 3am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 3-1 Guadalajara
Thursday, February 27 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
PumasDrawCD Guadalajara
40.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)27.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)31.74% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 48.26% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.63% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)57.37% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.81% (-0.052 -0.05)78.19% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)27.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)63.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)33.26% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.12% (-0.073 -0.07)69.88% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 40.64%
    CD Guadalajara 31.73%
    Draw 27.61%
PumasDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.82% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.73%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 1.05am
Gameweek 15
Guadalajara
0-0
Pumas
Feb 25, 2024 1.05am
Gameweek 8
Guadalajara
3-1
Pumas
Cowell (53'), Briseno (68'), Alfonso Guzman Guzman (80')
Salvio (74' pen.)
Silva (90+2')
Dec 4, 2023 12am
Pumas
3-0
Guadalajara
Briseno (14' og.), Huerta (18' pen.), Fernandez (64')
Huerta (33'), Mohamed (34'), Salvio (68')

Calderon (74')
Dec 1, 2023 3.05am
Guadalajara
1-0
Pumas
Beltran (43')
Orozco (45+2'), Alvarado (83'), Padilla (90+1')

Magallan (54'), Rivas (68')
Nov 12, 2023 1am
Gameweek 17
Pumas
1-0
Guadalajara
Fernandez (11')
Rivas (52'), Salvio (75')

Padilla (56'), Mozo (81')