Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.