Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.