CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Azteca
Seattle Sounders

Cruz Azul
4 - 1
Seattle

Rodriguez (33', 33'), Sepulveda (71' pen., 71' pen.), Romero (85', 85'), Sanchez (88', 88')
Rotondi (38'), Rotondi (38'), Rodriguez (45+4'), Rodriguez (45+4'), Bogusz (80'), Bogusz (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Musovski (74', 74')
Vargas (50'), Vargas (50')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Cruz Azul and Seattle Sounders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Seattle Sounders win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawSeattle Sounders
60.11% (0.102 0.1)21.67% (-0.023 -0.02)18.22% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.39% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)44.61% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)66.98% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (0.027999999999992 0.03)14.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.66% (0.049999999999997 0.05)42.35% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)38.18% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06% (-0.093 -0.09)74.94% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 60.1%
    Seattle Sounders 18.22%
    Draw 21.67%
Cruz AzulDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.67% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.67%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.22%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 3.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Seattle
0-0
Cruz Azul
Rusnak (40')
Fernandez (45+3'), Faravelli (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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