CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg

Feb 27, 2025 at 3.30am UK

CenturyLink Field

Seattle
3 - 1
Antigua GFC

De la Vega (24', 24', 88', 88'), Arriola (53', 53')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Galvez (45+1', 45+1')
(58'), Moran (58'), (58'), Moran (58'), Mario Rosales Marroquin (65'), Mario Rosales Marroquin (65'), Bradley (66'), Bradley (66'), Andre Fernandez Chinchilla (81'), Andre Fernandez Chinchilla (81')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Seattle Sounders and Antigua GFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Seattle 2-2 Charlotte FC
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Antigua GFC

All competitions

Last Game: Antigua GFC 1-3 Seattle
Thursday, February 20 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 85.91%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Antigua GFC had a probability of 4.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.61%), while for an Antigua GFC win it was 0-1 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	Antigua GFC
85.91% ( 0.17)	9.74% ( -0.1)	4.35% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 43.23% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.47% (

0.11)

28.53% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.6% (

0.14)

49.4% (

-0.14)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.48% (

0.05)

4.52% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.5% (

0.15)

18.5% (

-0.15)

Antigua GFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.27% (

-0.22)

54.73% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.28% (

-0.13)

87.72% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 85.9%

Antigua GFC 4.35%

Draw 9.74%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	Antigua GFC
3-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.85% 4-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 5.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 85.9%	1-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.5% Total : 9.74%	0-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 4.35%