Seattle Sounders
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 29, 2024 at 12.50am UK
CenturyLink Field
Houston Dynamo

Seattle
0 - 0
Houston


Paulo (61'), Gomez Andrade (63'), Leyva (72'), Rothrock (83')
FT

Herrera (55')
Carrasquilla (66')
Seattle win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 1-1 Portland
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Houston 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
52.67% (0.258 0.26)23.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)24.15% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 56.81% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.31% (-0.142 -0.14)43.69% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.92% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)66.08% (0.142 0.14)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.040999999999997 0.04)16.59% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (0.072000000000003 0.07)46.39% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)31.89% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.67% (-0.316 -0.32)68.33% (0.316 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 52.67%
    Houston Dynamo 24.15%
    Draw 23.17%
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 24.15%

How you voted: Seattle vs Houston

Seattle Sounders
77.1%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
1-0
Houston
Rothrock (22')
Gomez Andrade (63')

Dorsey (28'), Escobar (50'), Carrasquilla (78')
> Preview
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Seattle
Blessing (30', 40')
Ibrahim (6'), Raines (89'), Steres (90+3')
Rothrock (58'), Ragen (63')
Ruidiaz (90+4')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
1-0
Houston
Rusnak (67')
Cissoko (18'), Baker (54')

Olsen (19'), Micael (61'), Caicedo (89'), Sviatchenko (90+5')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Seattle
Rothrock (87')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2022 2am
Seattle
2-1
Houston
> Preview