Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 57.3% ( | 22.37% ( | 20.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.39% ( | 44.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( | 66.97% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( | 15.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( | 44.06% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( | 35.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( | 72.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 5-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.32% |