Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 40.18% ( | 24.73% ( | 35.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( | 44.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( | 66.94% ( |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( | 22.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.46% ( | 55.53% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( | 24.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.59% ( | 59.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.18% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.09% |