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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Aug 24, 2024 at 11.45pm UK
Allianz Field
Seattle Sounders

Minnesota Utd
2 - 3
Seattle

Yeboah (24' pen., 56')
Tapias (72')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Morris (11'), Ragen (28'), Rusnak (75')
Tolo (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSeattle Sounders
40.18% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)24.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.09% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)66.94% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.15% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.46% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)55.53% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (0.030000000000001 0.03)59.41% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 40.18%
    Seattle Sounders 35.09%
    Draw 24.72%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 35.09%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Seattle

Minnesota United
22.2%
Draw
16.7%
Seattle Sounders
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Seattle
2-0
Minnesota Utd
Morris (87'), Rothrock (90+4')
Tolo (43')

Harvey (41')
Dotson (65')
Jun 16, 2024 3.30am
Apr 23, 2023 3.30am
May 15, 2022 9pm
Seattle
3-1
Minnesota Utd
Ruidiaz (50' pen.), Roldan (74'), Lodeiro (90+4')
Vargas (10'), Arreaga (42'), Gomez Andrade (90+2')
Lod (34')
Trapp (49'), Fisher (52'), Arriaga (55'), Reynoso (68')