Major League Soccer

Aug 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
3 - 0
Orlando City

Davis (45', 45'), Salloi (52', 52'), Walter (90+2', 90+2')
Agade (51'), Agade (51'), Russell (90+9'), Russell (90+9')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Santos (84'), Santos (84'), Enrique (90'), Enrique (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-0 Kansas
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

Orlando City

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Cruz Azul (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Orlando City
46.91% ( -0.27)	23.09% ( 0.07)	30% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 62.35% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.31% (

-0.22)

38.68% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.01% (

-0.23)

60.99% (

0.23)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0.18)

16.83% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.17% (

-0.33)

46.83% (

0.34)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97% (

0.02)

25.02% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31% (

0.03)

59.69% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 46.91%

Orlando City 30%

Draw 23.08%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Orlando City
2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.26% Total : 46.91%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 30%