Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.