Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Cruz Azul
39.32% ( 0.22)	25.19% ( -0.01)	35.48% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 56.93% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.33% (

0.02)

46.67% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.07% (

0.02)

68.93% (

-0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.5% (

0.12)

23.5% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.47% (

0.18)

57.53% (

-0.17)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

-0.11)

25.58% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

-0.15)

60.45% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 39.32%

Cruz Azul 35.48%

Draw 25.19%

Orlando City	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.32%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.48%