Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 0
Seattle

David Mosquera (55', 55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Portland 4-4 St Louis City
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-3 Seattle
Saturday, August 24 at 11.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Seattle Sounders
48.16% ( -0.05)	22.65% ( 0.04)	29.19% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.42% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.95% (

-0.17)

37.05% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.75% (

-0.19)

59.25% (

0.19)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.24% (

-0.08)

15.76% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.12% (

-0.15)

44.88% (

0.16)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28% (

-0.08)

24.72% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74% (

-0.11)

59.26% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 48.16%

Seattle Sounders 29.2%

Draw 22.65%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Seattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.16%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.2%