Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Daniel Steres 8' yellowcard
  • Daniel Steres 8' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 50' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 50' goal
  • Erik Sviatchenko 68' goal
  • Erik Sviatchenko 68' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Carles Gil 54'
  • goal Carles Gil 54'
  • yellowcard Peyton Miller 68'
  • yellowcard Peyton Miller 68'

Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 3.30am
Seattle 1 - 0 Houston
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Aliyu Ibrahim

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
New England 1 - 0 Nashville
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Giacomo Vrioni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.

Result

Houston Dynamo 64.51% (+0.08)
Draw 19.03% (+0.01)
New England Revolution 16.45% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.49% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.48% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 35.52% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 42.43% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 57.56% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 24.13% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 75.87% (+0.17)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 89.6% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 10.4% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 66.06% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 33.93% (+0.08)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 65.28% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 34.72% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 28.55% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 71.45% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 64.51%
Draw 19.03%
New England Revolution 16.45%
Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.17% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.98% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (+99.00)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 64.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.65% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.61% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.03%
New England Revolution
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 3.82% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 16.45%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Dylan Borrero 42' goal
  • Bobby Wood 53' goal
  • Brandon Bye 65' goal
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Darwin Quintero 37' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 76' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 85' goal
  • goal Carles Gil 63'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Jul 4, 2020 1.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2019 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
  • Antonio Delamea Mlinar 45' yellowcard
  • Antonio Delamea Mlinar 51' goal
  • Andrew Farrell 54' yellowcard
  • Juan Agudelo 83' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 91' goal
  • goal Darwin Ceren 25'
  • yellowcard Rommel Quioto 43'
  • yellowcard Juan Cabezas 82'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Fuenmayor 86'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 6
Apr 1, 2018 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT BBVA Compass Stadium (Houston, Texas)
  • DaMarcus Beasley 35' redcard
  • Adolfo Machado 69' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Fuenmayor 86' yellowcard
  • goal Teal Bunbury 15'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Somi 52'
  • yellowcard Diego Fagundez 64'
  • goal Cristian Penilla 71'
Major League Soccer
Apr 8, 2017 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kei Kamara 52' goal
  • Juan Agudelo 72' goal