Major League Soccer

Sep 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
4 - 1
Salt Lake

Bassi (27', 27'), Dorsey (45+3', 45+3'), Kowalczyk (75', 75'), Ponce (81', 81')
Steres (24'), Steres (24'), Ponce (38'), Ponce (38')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Sviatchenko (49' og., 49' og.)
Arango (31'), Arango (31'), Katranis (63'), Katranis (63'), Glad (90+5'), Glad (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 New England
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
56.48% ( -0.08)	21.38% ( 0.04)	22.14% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 60.49% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.35% (

-0.11)

37.66% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.11% (

-0.12)

59.89% (

0.13)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.75% (

-0.06)

13.25% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.97% (

-0.13)

40.03% (

0.13)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

-0.02)

30.27% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56% (

-0.03)

66.44% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 56.48%

Real Salt Lake 22.14%

Draw 21.38%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 56.48%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.38%	1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 22.14%