Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
56.48% ( -0.08) | 21.38% ( 0.04) | 22.14% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.35% ( -0.11) | 37.66% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.11% ( -0.12) | 59.89% ( 0.13) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.75% ( -0.06) | 13.25% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.97% ( -0.13) | 40.03% ( 0.13) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( -0.02) | 30.27% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( -0.03) | 66.44% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.38% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 22.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 73 | 47 | 26 | 71 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 69 | 38 | 31 | 63 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 52 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 47 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 48 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 47 |
8 | DC United | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 40 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 40 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 61 | 53 | 8 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 48 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 61 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 56 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 51 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 50 |
7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 47 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 64 | 55 | 9 | 46 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 39 |
11 | Dallas | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 38 |
12 | St Louis City | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 40 | 75 | -35 | 21 |