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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Houston
4 - 1
Salt Lake

Bassi (27'), Dorsey (45+3'), Kowalczyk (75'), Ponce (81')
Steres (24'), Ponce (38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sviatchenko (49' og.)
Arango (31'), Katranis (63'), Glad (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 New England
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt Lake

The last seven meetings between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake have produced a combined 22 goals and we expect another end-to-end affair at the Shell Energy Stadium this weekend. Olsen's men boast a dominant home record against the Clarets and Cobalt and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
56.48% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 21.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 22.14% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.35% (-0.112 -0.11)37.66% (0.115 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.11% (-0.121 -0.12)59.89% (0.125 0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)13.25% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (-0.125 -0.13)40.03% (0.128 0.13)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)30.27% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)66.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.48%
    Real Salt Lake 22.14%
    Draw 21.38%
Houston DynamoDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56.48%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.38%
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 22.14%

How you voted: Houston vs Salt Lake

Houston Dynamo
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Real Salt Lake
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Houston
3-0
Salt Lake
Herrera (7'), Micael (24'), Glad (42' og.)
Ponce (62')
Jul 4, 2024 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-2
Houston
Gomez (22'), Luna (42'), Ojeda (67')
Ojeda (77'), Eneli (90+2')
Ibrahim (8'), Brody (55' og.)
Blessing (5'), Escobar (90+2')
Nov 11, 2023 11pm
Houston
1-1
Salt Lake
(Aggregate 1-1 | Houston win 4-3 on penalties)
Baird (28')
Baird (20')
Luna (65')
Savarino (46'), Arango (66'), Vera (72')
Nov 7, 2023 2am
Salt Lake
1-1
Houston
(Aggregate 1-1 | Salt Lake win 5-4 on penalties)
Savarino (70')
Glad (27'), Ojeda (33'), Vera (52')
Bassi (28')
Clark (16'), Bassi (17'), Dorsey (48'), Carrasquilla (69'), Sviatchenko (71')
Oct 29, 2023 10pm
Houston
2-1
Salt Lake
Herrera (22'), Bassi (79')
Escobar (90+5'), Carrasquilla (90+7')
Luna (54')
Oviedo (44'), Julio (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami33218473472671
2Columbus Crew33189669383163
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati33175115647956
4Orlando City331571158481052
5New York City FCNY City33148115447750
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC33139114337648
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls33111485347647
8DC United331010135267-1540
9CF MontrealMontreal331010134664-1840
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia33910146153837
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta33910144448-437
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3389163554-1933
14New England RevolutionNew England3394203568-3331
15Chicago Fire3379174059-1930

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy33197768482064
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles33187860421861
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake331511763471656
4Seattle SoundersSeattle33168950341656
5Houston DynamoHouston33149104538751
6Colorado RapidsColorado33155135957250
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd33147125448649
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver33138125147447
9Portland TimbersPortland331210116455946
10Austin FCAustin33109143646-1039
11Dallas33108155255-338
12St Louis City33813124959-1037
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3387185064-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3363244075-3521


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