Major League Soccer

Sep 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
0 - 1
Houston

Driussi (33'), Driussi (33'), Cascante (38'), Cascante (38'), Biro (57'), Biro (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carrasquilla (84', 84')
Carrasquilla (42'), Carrasquilla (42'), Kowalczyk (90'), Kowalczyk (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Austin
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 1-1 Vancouver
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
34.72% ( 1.3)	23.85% ( 0.29)	41.43% ( -1.6)

Both teams to score 61.63% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.5% (

-1.06)

40.5% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.12% (

-1.1)

62.88% (

1.1)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.86% (

0.23)

23.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43% (

0.33)

57% (

-0.33)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18% (

-1.13)

19.82% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.1% (

-1.87)

51.9% (

1.87)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 34.72%

Houston Dynamo 41.43%

Draw 23.85%

Austin FC	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.72%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.12% Total : 41.43%