Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.