Major League Soccer

Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Toronto
2 - 1
Austin

Osorio (7', 7'), Kerr (30', 30')
Laryea (63'), Laryea (63'), O'Neill (70'), O'Neill (70'), Johnson (74'), Johnson (74'), Thompson (77'), Thompson (77'), Mabika (83'), Mabika (83')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Wolff (75', 75')
Hines-Ike (5'), Hines-Ike (5'), Driussi (22'), Driussi (22'), Valencia (54'), Valencia (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Toronto 1-3 DC United
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Austin 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toronto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Toronto.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Austin FC
51.29% ( 0)	23.3%	25.41% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.76% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.93% (

43.07% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.53% (

65.47% (

-0)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14% (

16.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.12% (

46.88% (

-0)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

30.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

66.75% (

Score Analysis

Toronto 51.29%

Austin FC 25.41%

Draw 23.3%

Toronto	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.16% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.29%	1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.97% Total : 25.41%