Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Austin FC |
| 50.24% ( | 24.68% ( | 25.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( | 49.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( | 71.39% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( | 19.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( | 51.63% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( | 34.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( | 70.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.24% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.07% |