Major League Soccer

Sep 19, 2024 at 3.30am UK

CenturyLink Field

Seattle
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Morris (21', 21', 39', 39')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Pellegrino (16', 16'), Marie (89', 89')
Lopez (20'), Lopez (20'), Espinoza (38'), Espinoza (38'), Gruezo (51'), Gruezo (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seattle Sounders

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Kansas
Monday, September 16 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Seattle Sounders	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
65.53% ( -0.01)	18.65% ( 0)	15.82% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.41% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.06% (

34.93% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.08% (

56.92% (

-0.01)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.01% (

-0)

9.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67% (

-0)

32.99% (

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.89% (

0.01)

35.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.14% (

0.01)

71.86% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Seattle Sounders 65.53%

San Jose Earthquakes 15.82%

Draw 18.65%

Seattle Sounders	Draw	San Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.31% 4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.99% 5-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.26% Total : 65.53%	1-1 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.65%	1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.67% 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 15.82%