Major League Soccer

Sep 1, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Bouda (33', 33')
Gruezo (87'), Gruezo (87')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Hlongwane (9', 9', 64'), Abel Diaz Beleno (64')
Lod (79'), Abel Diaz Beleno (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 0-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, August 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Minnesota United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-3 Seattle
Saturday, August 24 at 11.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Minnesota United
53.55% ( 0.06)	22.03% ( 0.01)	24.42% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.88% (

-0.11)

38.12% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.61% (

-0.12)

60.39% (

0.12)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

-0.02)

14.31% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.86% (

-0.04)

42.14% (

0.04)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

-0.11)

28.65% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.54% (

-0.14)

64.46% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 53.55%

Minnesota United 24.42%

Draw 22.03%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.28% 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.55%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.03%	1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 24.42%