Major League Soccer
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fearlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fminlog.png)
-
Ousseni Bouda
33'
-
Ousseni Bouda
33'
-
Carlos Gruezo
87'
-
Carlos Gruezo
87'
-
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
9'
-
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
9'
-
Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno
64'
-
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
64'
-
Robin Lod
79'
-
Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno
79'
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F33%2Fjeremy-ebobisse.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.55%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result
San Jose Earthquakes
53.55%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
22.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Minnesota United
24.42%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
61.14%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.88%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
38.12%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
39.61%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 3.5
60.39%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 4.5
21.83%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
78.17%
▲
(+0.10)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5
85.68%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
14.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
57.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
42.14%
▲
(+0.04)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5
71.35%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
28.65%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
35.54%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
64.46%
▲
(+0.14)
Score analysis
San Jose Earthquakes
53.55%
Draw
22.03%
Minnesota United
24.42%
San Jose Earthquakes
2-1
@
9.69%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.28%
3-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 53.55%
1-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.28%
3-0 @ 5.02% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 53.55%
Draw
1-1
@
9.97%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.03%
2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.03%
Minnesota United
1-2
@
6.23%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 24.42%
Head to Head
Major League Soccer
-
Alejandro Bran
25'
-
Alejandro Bran
25'
-
Tanner Beason
38'
-
Tanner Beason
38'
-
Joseph Rosales
59'
-
Joseph Rosales
59'
-
Robin Lod
68'
-
Robin Lod
68'
-
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
75'
-
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
75'
-
Carlos Gruezo
45'
-
Carlos Gruezo
45'
-
Preston Judd
79'
-
Preston Judd
79'
Major League Soccer
-
Teemu Pukki
56'
-
Teemu Pukki
56'
-
Kervin Arriaga
90'+1'
-
Kervin Arriaga
90'+1'
-
Paul Marie
82'
-
Paul Marie
82'
Major League Soccer
-
Cade Cowell
16'
-
Cade Cowell
16'
-
Carlos Gruezo
31'
-
Carlos Gruezo
31'
-
Teemu Pukki
4'
-
Teemu Pukki
4'
-
Emanuel Reynoso
39'
-
Emanuel Reynoso
40'
-
Michael Boxall
85'
-
Michael Boxall
85'
Major League Soccer
-
Shea Salinas
52'
-
Benji Kikanovic
71'
Major League Soccer
-
Wil Trapp
8'
-
Luis Amarilla
32'
-
Luis Amarilla
70'
-
Marcos Lopez
10'
-
Francisco Calvo
43'
-
Cade Cowell
83'
Major League Soccer
Gameweek
26
-
Bakaye Dibassy
12'
-
Nathan Cardoso
21'
-
Marcos Lopez
90'+4'
-
Wil Trapp
22'
-
Wil Trapp
22'
-
DJ Taylor
82'
-
Bakaye Dibassy
89'