Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 60.75% ( | 20.63% | 18.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% ( | 39.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.41% ( | 61.59% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( | 12.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.48% ( | 38.52% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( | 34.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( | 71.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 1-0 @ 9% ( 3-1 @ 6.88% 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 4-1 @ 3.57% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.77% Total : 60.75% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0-1 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.85% Total : 18.61% |