CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Pensativo
Seattle Sounders

Antigua GFC
1 - 3
Seattle

Santis (24', 24')
Alexis Hernandez (10'), Alexis Hernandez (10'), Galvez (35'), Galvez (35'), Santis (81'), Santis (81')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Arriola (3', 3'), De la Vega (61', 61'), Rusnak (90+5', 90+5')
Tolo (90+1'), Tolo (90+1')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Antigua GFC and Seattle Sounders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua GFC

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, December 1 at 3am in MLS Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Antigua GFC had a probability of 16.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for an Antigua GFC win it was 2-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Antigua GFCDrawSeattle Sounders
16.12% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)20.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)63.84% (0.10700000000001 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)41% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)63.39% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Antigua GFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (-0.116 -0.12)38.52% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.73% (-0.111 -0.11)75.27% (0.116 0.12)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.82% (0.022000000000006 0.02)12.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)37.82% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Antigua GFC 16.12%
    Seattle Sounders 63.83%
    Draw 20.05%
Antigua GFCDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 4.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.12%
1-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.05%
0-2 @ 10.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 9.88% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.3% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-4 @ 3.84% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.66% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.62% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 63.83%