Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.