Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 82.5%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 5.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.22%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.69%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.