CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 12, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
5 - 0
Real du Cap

Sepulveda (21', 21', 24', 24'), Fernandez (26', 26', 75', 75'), Montano (60', 60')
FT(HT: 6-0)
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Cruz Azul and Real du Cap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Pachuca
Sunday, February 9 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Real du Cap

All competitions
Last Game: Real du Cap 0-2 Cruz Azul
Wednesday, February 5 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 94.99%. A draw had a probability of 4.2% and a win for Real du Cap had a probability of 0.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (15.21%) and 2-0 (13.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.05%), while for a Real du Cap win it was 0-1 (0.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawReal du Cap
94.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)4.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)0.79%
Both teams to score 20.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)45.52% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.97% (0.0039999999999907 0)12.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Real du Cap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
20.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)79.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
2.35%97.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 94.98%
    Real du Cap 0.79%
    Draw 4.21%
Cruz AzulDrawReal du Cap
3-0 @ 16.64%
4-0 @ 15.21%
2-0 @ 13.66%
5-0 @ 11.12%
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 6.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.57%
7-0 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-1 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.61%
8-0 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 94.98%
0-0 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-1 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 4.21%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 0.79%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2025 1am
First Round 1st Leg
Real du Cap
0-2
Cruz Azul

Michel (3')
Sepulveda (38'), Fernandez (84')
Garcia (90+4')