Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 94.99%. A draw had a probability of 4.2% and a win for Real du Cap had a probability of 0.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 3-0 with a probability of 16.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (15.21%) and 2-0 (13.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.05%), while for a Real du Cap win it was 0-1 (0.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.