CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg

Feb 5, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Cibao

Real du Cap
0 - 2
Cruz Azul

(Cruz Azul win 7-0 on aggregate)

Michel (3'), Michel (3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sepulveda (38', 38'), Fernandez (84', 84')
Garcia (90+4'), Garcia (90+4')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Real du Cap and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Cruz Azul
Saturday, February 1 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 94.55%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Real du Cap had a probability of 0.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-3 with a probability of 19.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (17.42%) and 0-4 (15.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.19%), while for a Real du Cap win it was 1-0 (0.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Real du Cap	Draw	Cruz Azul
0.6% ( 0.03)	4.85% ( 0.34)	94.55% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 12.6% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.88% (

-1.74)

33.11% (

1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.14% (

-2.03)

54.86% (

2.03)

Real du Cap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

13.08% (

-0.35)

86.92% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

0.89% (

-0.05)

99.1% (

0.05)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.33% (

-0.31)

3.67% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.2% (

-1.05)

15.8% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Real du Cap 0.6%

Cruz Azul 94.54%

Draw 4.85%

Real du Cap	Draw	Cruz Azul
Other @ 0.6% Total : 0.6%	0-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.29) 1-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 4.85%	0-3 @ 19.19% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 17.42% ( 0.69) 0-4 @ 15.85% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.68) 0-5 @ 10.48% ( -0.43) 0-6 @ 5.77% ( -0.4) 0-7 @ 2.73% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.11) 0-8 @ 1.13% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.61% Total : 94.54%