Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 16, 2025 at 2.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Puebla

Gutierrez (37', 37')
Sebastian Angel Wilke Braams (69'), Sebastian Angel Wilke Braams (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ferrareis (32'), Ferrareis (32'), Orona (58'), Orona (58')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, April 12 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Puebla

All competitions
Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Puebla
Sunday, April 13 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawPuebla
60.12% (0.515 0.52)23.06% (-0.035 -0.04)16.82% (-0.481 -0.48)
Both teams to score 45.98% (-0.812 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-0.592 -0.59)52.47% (0.59099999999999 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-0.511 -0.51)74.14% (0.51100000000001 0.51)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)17.1% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.69% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)47.31% (0.052 0.05)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.47% (-0.959 -0.96)44.53% (0.96 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.44% (-0.785 -0.79)80.55% (0.78399999999999 0.78)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 60.11%
    Puebla 16.82%
    Draw 23.06%
CD GuadalajaraDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 13.44% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 11.87% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.09% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.06%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 16.82%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 4am
Gameweek 14
Puebla
1-0
Guadalajara
Gomez (63')
Ferrareis (72')
Apr 7, 2024 2.05am
Gameweek 14
Guadalajara
3-2
Puebla
Hernandez (34'), Gutierrez (57'), Alvarado (59')
Cisneros (90+2'), Mozo (90+6')
De Buen (89'), Herrera Rodriguez (90+3')
Barragan (81'), Angulo (90')
Oct 21, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 13
Puebla
0-2
Guadalajara

Gonzalez (56'), Martinez (57'), Olmedo (77'), Carabajal (90+2')
Alvarado (25' pen.), Cisneros (72')
Gonzalez (17'), Sepulveda (34'), Briseno (57'), Alvarado (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 11
Puebla
1-0
Guadalajara
Ferrareis (40')
Oct 9, 2022 10.30pm
Puebla
1-1
Guadalajara
(Aggregate 1-1 | Puebla win 5-4 on penalties)
Barragan (58')
Cisneros (90+6')