Liga MX | Gameweek 11

Mar 8, 2025 at 3am UK

Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 3
Pumas

Waller (10', 10')
Angulo (19'), Angulo (19'), Gonzalez (65'), Gonzalez (65'), Moyano (90+8'), Moyano (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Quispe (59', 59'), Martinez (75', 75'), Avila (90+3', 90+3')
Amhed Azuaje Garcia (41'), Amhed Azuaje Garcia (41'), Caicedo (53'), Caicedo (53'), Carrasquilla (72'), Carrasquilla (72')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Queretaro 2-0 Puebla
Sunday, March 2 at 10pm in Liga MX

Goals
for

Pumas

All competitions

Liga MX

Last Game: Pumas 2-0 Alajuelense
Wednesday, March 5 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Pumas
31.56% ( 0.03)	25.93% ( -0)	42.51% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.39% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22% (

0.03)

50.78% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33% (

0.02)

72.67% (

-0.02)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98% (

0.03)

30.02% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86% (

0.04)

66.14% (

-0.05)

Pumas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28% (

-0)

23.71% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.16% (

-0.01)

57.84% (

Score Analysis

Puebla 31.56%

Pumas 42.51%

Draw 25.92%

Puebla	Draw	Pumas
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.56%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.51%