Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.