CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Olimpico de Universitario

Pumas
2 - 0
Alajuelense

Ergas (38', 38'), Funes Mori (73', 73')
Bennevendo (32'), Bennevendo (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Oviedo (72'), Oviedo (72')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Pumas and Alajuelense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alajuelense 1-1 New England
Friday, March 15 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Alajuelense had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Alajuelense win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.

Result
PumasDrawAlajuelense
56.66% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)23.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03)19.44% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.12% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.064 -0.06)52.07% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.055 -0.05)73.8% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)18.2% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.78% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)49.21% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Alajuelense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.17% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 56.65%
    Alajuelense 19.44%
    Draw 23.9%
PumasDrawAlajuelense
1-0 @ 12.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 56.65%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.5% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.44%

rhs 2.0


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