Liga MX | Gameweek 10

Mar 2, 2025 at 10pm UK

Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
2 - 0
Puebla

Venegas (30'), Lertora (55')
Russo (63'), Salim Hernandez Soriano (80'), Preciado (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fedorco (63')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions

Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Queretaro
Thursday, February 27 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Puebla

All competitions

Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Puebla
Thursday, February 27 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.

Result
Queretaro	Draw	Puebla
41.65% ( 0.57)	27.14% ( 0.07)	31.21% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28% (

-0.44)

55.71% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14% (

-0.36)

76.85% (

0.36)

Queretaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

0.1)

26.37% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48% (

0.13)

61.52% (

-0.13)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

-0.68)

32.78% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66% (

-0.76)

69.34% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Queretaro 41.65%

Puebla 31.21%

Draw 27.14%

Queretaro	Draw	Puebla
1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.65%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.21%