Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queretaro would win this match.