Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 6, 2025 at 2.05am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
3 - 1
Guadalajara

de la Rosa (9', 9'), Berterame (28', 28'), Deossa (85', 85')
Deossa (53'), Deossa (53')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Alvarado (51', 51')
Sepulveda (48'), Sepulveda (48'), Alvarado (78'), Alvarado (78'), Padilla (90+3'), Padilla (90+3')
Romo (80'), Romo (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 1-2 Tijuana
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, March 30 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawCD Guadalajara
60.47% (0.77699999999999 0.78)21.44% (-0.271 -0.27)18.09% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (0.393 0.39)43.79% (-0.395 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (0.384 0.38)66.17% (-0.387 -0.39)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (0.37 0.37)14.04% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.4% (0.72300000000001 0.72)41.6% (-0.725 -0.73)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.335 -0.34)37.84% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.325 -0.32)74.62% (0.325 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 60.47%
    CD Guadalajara 18.09%
    Draw 21.43%
MonterreyDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.24% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.09 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.2% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.063 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 60.47%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.43%
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-2 @ 4.92% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.09%

Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 4.05am
Gameweek 10
Guadalajara
1-1
Monterrey
Marin (28')
Briseno (10'), Rangel (89')
Corona (88')
Arteaga (49'), Moreno (75'), Corona (79'), Rojas Echavarria (89'), Andrada (90+2'), Andrada (90+8')
Mar 31, 2024 2am
Gameweek 13
Monterrey
0-2
Guadalajara

Arteaga (45+2')
Arteaga (45+2'), Rodriguez (82')
Moreno (72' og.), Marin (90+3')
Sep 4, 2023 12.05am
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
1-2
Monterrey
Marin (66')
Orozco (42'), Rios (90+3')
Canales (9', 36')
Vegas (29'), Govea (69'), Andrada (90')
Jan 8, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 1
Monterrey
0-1
Guadalajara
Vega (47')
Aug 24, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 16
Guadalajara
1-0
Monterrey