Vancouver Whitecaps
CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 3.30am UK
BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
1 - 1
Monterrey

Halbouni (86', 86', 86')
Laborda (13'), Laborda (13'), Laborda (13'), Berhalter (77'), Berhalter (77'), Berhalter (77'), White (84'), White (84'), White (84')
FT(HT: 0-4)
de la Rosa (25', 25', 25', 25')
Ambriz (7'), Ambriz (7'), Ambriz (7'), Cortizo (37'), Cortizo (37'), Cortizo (37'), Moreno (54'), Moreno (54'), Moreno (54'), Reyes (55'), Reyes (55'), Reyes (55')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 2 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawMonterrey
34.59% (-0.156 -0.16)25.04% (0.02 0.02)40.37% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-0.122 -0.12)46.11% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-0.114 -0.11)68.41% (0.114 0.11)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.17% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)25.83% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.2% (-0.198 -0.2)60.8% (0.197 0.2)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)22.72% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 34.59%
    Monterrey 40.37%
    Draw 25.04%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawMonterrey
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.44% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.37%

rhs 2.0


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