CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg

Feb 21, 2025 at 1am UK

Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Ayma

Deportivo Saprissa
2 - 1
Vancouver

(Vancouver Whitecaps win 3-2 on aggregate)

Torres (51', 51'), Francisco Rodriguez Araya (90+5', 90+5')
Waston (4'), Waston (4'), Bolanos (34'), Bolanos (34'), Torres (65'), Torres (65'), Borbon (82'), Borbon (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gauld (21', 21')
Cubas (41'), Cubas (41'), Laborda (79'), Laborda (79'), Ahmed (82'), Ahmed (82')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Deportivo Saprissa and Vancouver Whitecaps.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Saprissa

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-3 Deportivo Saprissa
Wednesday, February 28 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Vancouver
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30am in MLS Playoffs

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Saprissa win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Saprissa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Saprissa would win this match.

Result
Deportivo Saprissa	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
42.25% ( 0.15)	25.25% ( -0.02)	32.49% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42% (

0.03)

47.58% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21% (

0.03)

69.79% (

-0.03)

Deportivo Saprissa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.55% (

0.08)

22.45% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.02% (

0.12)

55.98% (

-0.13)

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.18% (

-0.07)

27.82% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58% (

-0.09)

63.42% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Saprissa 42.25%

Vancouver Whitecaps 32.49%

Draw 25.25%

Deportivo Saprissa	Draw	Vancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.25%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.49%