Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.