Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Oct 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Vancouver
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Blackmon (63', 63' og.)
Sartini (63'), Sartini (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bogusz (1', 1'), Sanchez (90+3', 90+3')
Palencia (62'), Palencia (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-3 Los Angeles
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
40.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)35.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)55.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)59.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 40.02%
    Los Angeles FC 35.16%
    Draw 24.82%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.02%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.82%
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.16%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Los Angeles

Vancouver Whitecaps
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Los Angeles FC
62.5%
32
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2024 3.30am
Group Stage
Los Angeles
2-2
Vancouver
(Aggregate 2-2 | Los Angeles win 0-0 on penalties)
Kamara (88'), Bogusz (90+5')
Olivera (80'), Martinez (90')
Berhalter (5'), Veselinovic (17')
Ahmed (13'), Halbouni (53'), Berhalter (90+1')
May 12, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-0
Vancouver
Olivera (18', 36'), Bogusz (57')
Bogusz (45+2')

White (21')
Nov 10, 2023 3am
Nov 6, 2023 12.30am
Vancouver
0-1
Los Angeles

Veselinovic (22'), Adekugbe (90+4'), Blackmon (90+4'), Schopf (90+1')
Sartini (90+5')
Bouanga (24' pen.)
Gonzalez (40'), Olivera (83')
Oct 29, 2023 1am
Los Angeles
5-2
Vancouver
Hollingshead (18', 52'), Bouanga (29', 64'), Murillo (80')
Vela (22')
White (27'), Adekugbe (40')
Brown (41'), Blackmon (55'), Vite (63'), Johnson (82')