Major League Soccer

Oct 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Banc of California Stadium

Los Angeles
1 - 0
St Louis City

Bouanga (45+1', 45+1')
Bogusz (8'), Cherundolo (8'), Bogusz (8'), Cherundolo (8'), Chanot (12'), Chanot (12')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hartel (7'), Hartel (7'), Teuchert (90+5'), Becher (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Kansas
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 3-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.97%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FC	Draw	St Louis City
75.89% ( -0.45)	13.96% ( 0.01)	10.15% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 59.46% (

1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.2% (

1.47)

25.8% (

-1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.04% (

1.88)

45.96% (

-1.87)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.35% (

0.24)

5.65% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.11% (

0.67)

21.88% (

-0.67)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.02% (

1.94)

36.98% (

-1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.23% (

1.88)

73.76% (

-1.88)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles FC 75.89%

St Louis City 10.15%

Draw 13.96%

Los Angeles FC	Draw	St Louis City
2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6% ( -0.49) 4-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.22) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.2) 5-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) 6-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.07) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 4.61% Total : 75.89%	1-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.27% Total : 13.96%	1-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.67% Total : 10.15%