Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 3.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Mateusz Bogusz 8' yellowcard
  • Steve Cherundolo 8' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Bogusz 8' yellowcard
  • Steve Cherundolo 8' yellowcard
  • Maxime Chanot 12' yellowcard
  • Maxime Chanot 12' yellowcard
  • Denis Bouanga 45'+1' goal
  • Denis Bouanga 45'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 7'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hartel 7'
  • yellowcard Cedric Teuchert 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Simon Becher 90'+5'

Los Angeles FC vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 12.30am
Cincinnati 1 - 2 Los Angeles
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City 3 - 1 Kansas
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Eduard Lowen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 3-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.97%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result

Los Angeles FC 75.89% (-0.45)
Draw 13.96% (+0.01)
St Louis City 10.15% (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.46% (+1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.2% (+1.48)
Under 2.5 25.8% (-1.48)
Over 3.5 54.04% (+1.88)
Under 3.5 45.96% (-1.88)
Over 4.5 34.55% (+1.80)
Under 4.5 65.45% (-1.80)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 94.35% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 5.65% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 78.11% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 21.88% (-0.68)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 63.02% (+1.95)
Under 0.5 36.98% (-1.94)
Over 1.5 26.23% (+1.89)
Under 1.5 73.76% (-1.88)

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 75.89%
Draw 13.96%
St Louis City 10.15%
Los Angeles FC
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.57)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 8.26% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 8.22% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6% (-0.49)
4-0 @ 5.94% (-0.21)
4-1 @ 5.91% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 4.09% (+0.23)
5-0 @ 3.41% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 3.39% (+0.11)
4-2 @ 2.94% (+0.21)
5-2 @ 1.69% (+0.14)
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.63% (+0.08)
Other @ 5.58%
Total : 75.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.97% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 4.27% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 13.96%
St Louis City
1-2 @ 2.97% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 2.08% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.42% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 10.15%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 1.30am
0
2
HT : 1 0
FT CityPark
  • Anthony Markanich 26' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 27' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 45'+5' goal
  • Celio Pompeu 58' yellowcard
  • Celio Pompeu 58' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 75' redcard
  • Anthony Markanich 77' redcard
  • Njabulo Blom 82' yellowcard
  • Njabulo Blom 82' yellowcard
  • Aziel Jackson 84' yellowcard
  • Aziel Jackson 84' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Indiana Vassilev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timothy Tillman 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Timothy Tillman 45'+5'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 59'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 59'
  • yellowcard Erik Duenas 86'
  • yellowcard Erik Duenas 86'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 90'+5'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT CityPark
  • Anthony Markanich 89' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 89' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ostrak 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tomas Ostrak 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergi Palencia 53'
  • yellowcard Sergi Palencia 53'
  • yellowcard Kellyn Acosta 84'
  • yellowcard Kellyn Acosta 84'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Carlos Vela 72' goal
  • Carlos Vela 72' goal
  • Stipe Biuk 82' goal
  • Stipe Biuk 82' goal
  • Jose Cifuentes 90'+2' goal
  • Jose Cifuentes 90'+2' goal