Major League Soccer

Oct 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
0 - 1
Austin

FT(HT: 0-3)

Pereira (42', 42')
Pereira (22'), Pereira (22'), Obrian (40'), Obrian (40'), Stuver (90+7'), Stuver (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Portland
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.84%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Austin FC
55.06% ( 1.29)	20.71% ( -0.61)	24.23% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 65.82% (

1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.09% (

2.33)

31.91% (

-2.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.54% (

2.68)

53.46% (

-2.68)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.22% (

1.15)

11.78% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.03% (

2.39)

36.98% (

-2.39)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.61% (

0.79)

25.39% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.8% (

1.07)

60.2% (

-1.06)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 55.06%

Austin FC 24.23%

Draw 20.71%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.53) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.17) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.85% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.39) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 24.23%