Major League Soccer

Sep 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Austin
2 - 2
Salt Lake

Obrian (81', 81'), Biro (89', 89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Crooks (48', 48'), Goncalves (65' pen., 65' pen.)
Mastroeni (0'), Mastroeni (0'), Glad (59'), Glad (59'), Chang (90+6'), Chang (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Austin 0-1 Houston
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-3 Portland
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
41.35% ( 0.03)	23.03% ( 0.01)	35.61% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 64.94% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.74% (

-0.03)

36.26% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.62% (

-0.03)

58.38% (

0.03)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91% (

18.08% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.99% (

0.01)

49% (

-0.01)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

-0.03)

20.72% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67% (

-0.05)

53.33% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 41.35%

Real Salt Lake 35.61%

Draw 23.03%

Austin FC	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 41.35%	1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.61%