Major League Soccer

Sep 19, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
3 - 2
Dallas

Vera (11' pen., 11' pen.), Julio (24', 24', 62', 62')
Crooks (90'), Eneli (90+10'), Crooks (90'), Eneli (90+10')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Ferreira (45+1', 45+1'), Velasco (88' pen., 88' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Houston 4-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, September 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	Dallas
68.96% ( 0.72)	17.59% ( -0.24)	13.45% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 55.91% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.84% (

-0)

35.16% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.83% (

-0)

57.17% (

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.76% (

0.17)

9.24% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.76% (

0.39)

31.24% (

-0.39)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.6% (

-0.68)

38.39% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.85% (

-0.65)

75.15% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 68.96%

Dallas 13.45%

Draw 17.59%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	Dallas
2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.56% Total : 68.96%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.59%	1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.45%